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Market Perspectives Blog Post

Austin Housing Market 2025: It’s Not Just You — It’s the Market

If you’ve been trying to sell or lease out a home in Austin lately, you may be feeling confused, discouraged, or just plain stuck. You’re not alone. In fact, if you’re wondering why no one’s showing up to your open house or inquiring about your listing — join the club. This Austin housing market is not like anything we’ve seen in recent memory. Not even during the pandemic. And unlike some past slowdowns where buyers were still looking but hesitant to commit, this time many of them simply aren’t even showing up.


The Agent Whisper Network: “No One’s Showing Up”

In informal conversations across our network of agents throughout Central Austin and surrounding neighborhoods — from downtown condos to East Austin new builds and mid-century remodels — one message keeps coming up: showing activity is dramatically down.

Open houses are often empty. Listings that would have received multiple showings in a weekend are now sitting without a single inquiry. And it’s not just isolated listings — this trend is cutting across price points, locations, and home types.

This isn’t just a local Austin Housing Market feeling — national data backs it up.  According to the ShowingTime Showing Index, national showing activity fell to 136.9 in February 2025, representing a 25.8% decline compared to the previous year. In the South region, which includes Texas, the index dropped to 111.7 — a 24.2% year-over-year decrease, reflecting a sharp reduction in buyer engagement across the region.

In other words: properties that were getting four showings per week in previous years are now seeing one — or none. This isn’t about buyer hesitation — it’s about buyer absence. Many are sitting on the sidelines, renewing leases, or waiting for interest rates to come down before they even start looking.


Results Are Still Possible — But They Take Real Work

Despite the broader slowdown, we’ve had two listings go under contract recently5211 Coppermead and 1809 McKinley Ave — and we’re proud of those results. But let’s be clear: they didn’t happen by accident. We hosted over 20 open houses, delivered more than 300 door knockers to nearby homeowners, and sent out over 500 direct-mail postcards. On top of that, we ran targeted digital campaigns and maintained consistent agent outreach and buyer follow-up to keep our listings top of mind.

That’s what it took to get visibility, generate traffic, and ultimately secure offers. In this market, a good MLS listing and nice photos aren’t enough. Getting a home under contract now requires coordination, creativity, and commitment.


Rents Aren’t the Reliable Backup They Once Were

In past markets, if selling didn’t make sense, leasing the home often did. But today, rents are under pressure too. Inventory is up. Prices are flat or falling in several submarkets. And tenants, like buyers, are being more selective — especially with more options and plenty of landlord concessions being offered.

We’re increasingly seeing the leasing strategy lead to losses rather than relief — especially when factoring in taxes, insurance, and vacancy risk. What used to be a temporary solution is now a longer-term drain for many homeowners.

Buyers: This Is Your Window — Don’t Miss It

If you’re a buyer sitting back, waiting for the “perfect moment,” here’s some advice: get off the sidelines. We are in several key areas of Austin at 8 MONTHS OF INVENTORY.

A large portion of the current activity in Austin is being driven by investors. They see this market for what it is — a rare opportunity to buy in a corrected environment where sellers are negotiable and pricing has adjusted. They’re moving. Are you?

This is a true buyer’s market! 

You can negotiate meaningful seller-paid incentives, including rate buy-downs that directly lower your monthly payment. You can buy at rightsized prices, not the inflated numbers we saw at the peak. You can choose from a wider inventory without feeling rushed or bidding against 10 other buyers. Don’t let investors be the only ones to benefit from this market. If you’re looking for a home to live in, now is the time to make strategic decisions that could set you up for years to come.


The New Decision for Sellers in this Housing Market: Take the Hit Now or Bleed Slowly?

So here’s the real question for many sellers right now: Do I take a hit now and free up capital or loan capacity to invest elsewhere, or do I hold and lose money slowly over time while hoping the market rebounds?

There’s no one-size-fits-all answer. But we’re seeing more homeowners seriously evaluate the opportunity cost of holding. In some cases, taking a controlled loss now means you can:

  • 1) Buy again in a buyer’s market

  • 2) Reduce monthly stress and carrying costs

  • 3) Reallocate capital into higher-performing or income-generating assets


A Time for Strategy, Not Panic

This isn’t doom and gloom. It’s a reality check. And it’s exactly the kind of market where thoughtful strategy — not wishful thinking — sets people apart.

At Adam Timothy Group, we specialize in helping clients make smart decisions in complex markets. Whether it’s prepping a listing for maximum impact, running a lease-vs-sale financial analysis, or identifying new investment opportunities, we’re here to walk with you — data in hand, strategy in mind.

Success is still possible. But it takes more than it used to.


Let’s talk if you want to understand what this market means for your property — or if you’re a buyer ready to act while others are still waiting.

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We don’t just buy and sell homes. We build community by helping clients find their place in the world.

Timothy Powles and Adam Stanley work together on the Adam Timothy Group at Compass RA and manage AT Real Estate Group LLC, a rental and vacation property investment business. We are about building community. We believe a real estate transaction is an important and extremely significant event but relationships last a lifetime. Our clients, partners, and friends trust us to get to know their story and what is most important to them.  And we work tirelessly to retain that trust.

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