The same house can be a nightly rental or a 12-month lease, and the two produce very different businesses. A short-term rental can out-earn a lease on paper, but it carries furniture, cleaning, platform fees, hotel tax, a city license and far more volatility. This model puts both strategies on the same purchase, the same loan and the same tax bill, then shows the cash flow, cash-on-cash return and break-even occupancy side by side, so you can see what the extra work actually pays.
Pick a neighborhood to load its ZIP's median sale price and a long-term rent set by that ZIP's rent-to-value ratio. The short-term inputs are illustrative assumptions, not market data. Replace any field with your property's figures; results update as you type.
One purchase, one loan. Only the operating model changes.
A 12-month lease. Tenant pays most utilities; you manage turnovers and repairs.
Stays under 30 nights. You furnish it, pay every utility and run a hospitality business.
Enter your numbers to compare.
| Year One | Long-Term | Short-Term |
|---|
The headline number is not the gap in cash flow. It is the cushion between the occupancy you assumed and the occupancy you need. A short-term rental that beats a lease by $8,000 a year but needs 52% occupancy to break even, against an assumed 58%, has six points of room. One soft season, a new competitor two doors down or a bad review can eat that.
A lease is a rent check. A short-term rental is a small hotel with one room. Underwrite it like one, with year-round rates, a real cleaning bill and a slow first year.
Adam Timothy GroupAustin overhauled its short-term rental rules in 2025. Before you underwrite a property as a short-term rental, confirm it can actually operate as one.
Sources: City of Austin, Short-Term Rentals · City of Austin, Hotel and Rental Tax · Development Services memo to Council, Update on Short-term Rental Program. Rules and fees change; verify with the City before you buy.
Hold the purchase, loan, property taxes and HOA constant, then model each operating strategy with its own revenue and expenses. For a long-term rental that means rent, vacancy, management, leasing fees, repairs and reserves. For a short-term rental it means nightly rate, occupancy, cleaning, platform fees, management, utilities, supplies, insurance, licensing and the upfront cost of furnishing. Compare annual cash flow, cash-on-cash return and the occupancy the short-term rental needs to break even.
It depends on the nightly rate, cleaning economics and your fixed costs, so there is no single Austin number. This calculator solves for it directly: it shows the occupancy at which short-term cash flow equals long-term cash flow, and the occupancy at which the short-term rental breaks even. The wider the gap between that number and the occupancy you can realistically hold year-round, the safer the short-term strategy.
Yes, with a City of Austin operating license. Ordinance No. 20250227-039 made short-term rentals an accessory use to residential properties across all zoning districts with a valid license, and since July 1, 2026 platforms must display license numbers and remove unlicensed listings when the City asks. HOA covenants, condo bylaws, deed restrictions, loan terms and insurance can still prohibit short-term stays, so check each before you buy.
Guests pay hotel occupancy tax: 11% to the City of Austin (9% occupancy plus 2% venue project tax) and 6% to the State of Texas. Platforms that collect payment remit the City tax on the operator's behalf; bookings taken directly are the operator's responsibility. Because guests pay it on top of the rate, this calculator treats hotel tax as a pass-through rather than income. Rental profit is also subject to income tax, so speak with a CPA.
Cleaning and laundry on every turnover, the full utility bill including internet and streaming, restocking supplies, faster wear on furniture and finishes, higher insurance premiums, licensing, and the cash spent furnishing the home before the first guest arrives. Owners also tend to price from peak weekends instead of a full-year average rate, and to forget that a new listing with no reviews books slower in year one.
This page compares two strategies on the same property: renting it short-term or leasing it long-term. The Austin Rental Analyzer goes deeper on a single long-term rental, with cash-on-cash return, compound annual growth rate against your own targets, and a summary you can save or send to our team. Use this page to choose a strategy, then the Rental Analyzer to pressure-test a long-term deal.
Our Austin Vendor & Services Guide lists the inspectors, contractors, insurance agents and trades we work with. For leasing and day-to-day landlord questions, start with the Landlord Resource Center.
Adam Timothy Group is an investor-friendly Austin real estate team, focused on East Austin, North Loop and South Congress. We own and operate both long-term rentals and vacation rentals, and we help clients pressure-test rent and nightly-rate assumptions, confirm short-term eligibility and structure offers that work under either strategy.
We own and operate both long-term and vacation rentals. Bring us an address and we will check the rent, the nightly rate, short-term eligibility and the expenses that sink first-year hosts.
This calculator is an educational estimate, not financial, tax, legal or investment advice. ZIP-level figures are market medians and averages, not an appraisal or rent estimate for any specific home. Short-term rental assumptions are illustrative. Verify rent, nightly rates, occupancy, taxes, insurance, licensing eligibility and HOA restrictions with qualified professionals before making an investment decision.
Thanks for reaching out — we'll be in touch with you shortly.
We may use cookies and similar technologies to improve your browsing experience, analyze website traffic, and personalize content. By continuing to use this site, you consent to our use of cookies in accordance with our Privacy Policy. You can change your cookie preferences at any time in your browser settings.
Manage your cookie preferences below:
Essential cookies enable basic functions and are necessary for the proper function of the website.
These cookies are needed for adding comments on this website.
Statistics cookies collect information anonymously. This information helps us understand how visitors use our website.
Google Analytics is a powerful tool that tracks and analyzes website traffic for informed marketing decisions.
Service URL: policies.google.com (opens in a new window)
Marketing cookies are used to follow visitors to websites. The intention is to show ads that are relevant and engaging to the individual user.
OptinMonster is a powerful lead generation tool that helps businesses convert visitors into subscribers and customers.
Service URL: optinmonster.com (opens in a new window)
You can find more information in our Privacy Policy.